1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.33
xG Away
1.80
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
BTTS
61%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Leeds an expected 1.3 goals and Manchester United an expected 1.8 goals. Leeds have a 28% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Manchester United at 49%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.5%
1:2
9.4%
0:1
7.8%
0:2
7.1%
2:1
7%
2:2
6.3%
1:0
5.8%
1:3
5.7%
0:0
4.4%
0:3
4.2%
2:0
3.9%
2:3
3.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Manchester United Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 49% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.04 |
| Market Odds | 2.17 |
Team Comparison
| Leeds | Manchester United | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 3 |
| 47 | Points | 71 |
| 29% | Win % | 53% |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.82 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
Venue Form
Leeds at Home
W3
D1
L0
(4 games)
Manchester United Away
W1
D3
L0
(4 games)
Recent Form
Leeds
D
W
W
W
Manchester United
D
D
D
W
