1
43%
Home Win
2.31
X
27%
Draw
3.69
2
30%
Away Win
3.39
xG Home
1.36
xG Away
1.07
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
BTTS
49%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Leeds an expected 1.4 goals and Crystal Palace an expected 1.1 goals. Leeds have a 43% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Crystal Palace at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.8%
1:0
12%
0:1
9.4%
0:0
8.8%
2:1
8.7%
2:0
8.1%
1:2
6.9%
0:2
5%
2:2
4.7%
3:1
3.9%
3:0
3.7%
1:3
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Leeds Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 43% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.33 |
| Market Odds | 2.47 |
Team Comparison
| Leeds | Crystal Palace | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 15 |
| 47 | Points | 45 |
| 29% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.34 |
Venue Form
Leeds at Home
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
Crystal Palace Away
W1
D0
L3
(4 games)
Recent Form
Leeds
W
W
W
Crystal Palace
W
L
L
L
