1
34%
Home Win
2.97
X
26%
Draw
3.79
2
40%
Away Win
2.51
xG Home
1.23
xG Away
1.36
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Leeds an expected 1.2 goals and Brighton an expected 1.4 goals. Leeds have a 34% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Brighton at 40%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.6%
0:1
10.2%
1:0
9.3%
1:2
8.5%
2:1
7.7%
0:0
7.5%
0:2
7%
2:0
5.7%
2:2
5.2%
1:3
3.9%
0:3
3.1%
3:1
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Brighton Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Leeds | Brighton | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 8 |
| 47 | Points | 53 |
| 29% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.37 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
Venue Form
Leeds at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Brighton Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Leeds
W
W
Brighton
L
D
W
Head to Head
Brighton
3 : 0
Leeds
L
Leeds
2 : 2
Brighton
D
Brighton
1 : 0
Leeds
L
