1
36%
Home Win
2.76
X
25%
Draw
3.97
2
39%
Away Win
2.59
xG Home
1.39
xG Away
1.44
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Leeds an expected 1.4 goals and Brentford an expected 1.4 goals. Leeds have a 36% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Brentford at 39%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.8%
0:1
8.5%
1:2
8.5%
1:0
8.2%
2:1
8.2%
0:2
6.1%
0:0
5.9%
2:2
5.9%
2:0
5.7%
1:3
4.1%
3:1
3.8%
0:3
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Brentford Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| Leeds | Brentford | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 9 |
| 47 | Points | 53 |
| 29% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.45 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.37 |
Venue Form
Leeds at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Brentford Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Leeds
W
W
Brentford
L
L
