1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.69
xG Away
1.05
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Lech Poznan an expected 1.7 goals and Korona Kielce an expected 1.1 goals. Lech Poznan have a 52% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Korona Kielce at 24%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.4%
1:0
10.8%
2:1
9.7%
2:0
9.2%
0:1
6.8%
0:0
6.4%
1:2
6%
3:1
5.5%
3:0
5.2%
2:2
5.1%
0:2
3.6%
3:2
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lech Poznan Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 52% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.92 |
| Market Odds | 2.05 |
Team Comparison
| Lech Poznan | Korona Kielce | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 11 |
| 60 | Points | 43 |
| 47% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.82 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.18 |
Venue Form
Lech Poznan at Home
W3
D1
L0
(4 games)
Korona Kielce Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Lech Poznan
W
W
D
W
Korona Kielce
W
L
L
