1
13%
Home Win
7.55
X
24%
Draw
4.11
2
62%
Away Win
1.6
xG Home
0.59
xG Away
1.61
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
BTTS
36%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Lecce an expected 0.6 goals and Juventus an expected 1.6 goals. Lecce have a 13% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Juventus at 62%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
17.9%
0:2
14.4%
0:0
11.1%
1:1
10.5%
1:2
8.5%
0:3
7.7%
1:0
6.5%
1:3
4.5%
0:4
3.1%
2:1
3.1%
2:2
2.5%
2:0
1.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Juventus Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 62% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.61 |
| Market Odds | 1.72 |
Team Comparison
| Lecce | Juventus | |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | League Position | 6 |
| 38 | Points | 69 |
| 26% | Win % | 50% |
| 0.74 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.61 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.89 |
Venue Form
Lecce at Home
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Juventus Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Lecce
L
D
Juventus
W
D
