Lecce vs Juventus Prediction

0 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 09 May 2026 · Serie A
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 0.59
xG Away 1.61
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
BTTS 36%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Lecce an expected 0.6 goals and Juventus an expected 1.6 goals. Lecce have a 13% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Juventus at 62%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 17.9%
0:2 14.4%
0:0 11.1%
1:1 10.5%
1:2 8.5%
0:3 7.7%
1:0 6.5%
1:3 4.5%
0:4 3.1%
2:1 3.1%
2:2 2.5%
2:0 1.9%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Juventus Win
Probability 62%
Predicted Odds 1.61
Market Odds 1.72

Team Comparison

Lecce Juventus
17 League Position 6
38 Points 69
26% Win % 50%
0.74 Avg Goals Scored 1.61
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89

Venue Form

Lecce at Home
W1 D1 L2 (4 games)
25% win rate
Juventus Away
W2 D1 L1 (4 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

Lecce
L W L D
Juventus
W L W D