1
13%
Home Win
8
X
25%
Draw
4.01
2
63%
Away Win
1.6
xG Home
0.54
xG Away
1.56
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
BTTS
33%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Lecce an expected 0.5 goals and AS Roma an expected 1.6 goals. Lecce have a 13% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and AS Roma at 63%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 65%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
19.2%
0:2
15%
0:0
12.3%
1:1
10.3%
1:2
8%
0:3
7.8%
1:0
6.6%
1:3
4.2%
0:4
3%
2:1
2.7%
2:2
2.1%
2:0
1.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | AS Roma Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 63% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.59 |
| Market Odds | 1.69 |
Team Comparison
| Lecce | AS Roma | |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | League Position | 3 |
| 38 | Points | 73 |
| 26% | Win % | 61% |
| 0.74 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.55 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.82 |
Venue Form
Lecce at Home
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
AS Roma Away
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Lecce
L
D
AS Roma
W
W
D
