LE Havre AC vs Marseille Prediction

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0 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 10 May 2026 · Ligue 1
1 23%
Home Win 4.37
X 25%
Draw 3.95
2 52%
Away Win 1.93
xG Home 0.95
xG Away 1.57
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
BTTS 49%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives LE Havre AC an expected 1.0 goals and Marseille an expected 1.6 goals. LE Havre AC have a 23% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Marseille at 52%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 12.6%
1:1 12%
0:2 9.9%
1:2 9.4%
0:0 8%
1:0 7.6%
2:1 5.7%
0:3 5.2%
1:3 5%
2:2 4.5%
2:0 3.6%
2:3 2.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Marseille Win
Probability 52%
Predicted Odds 1.92
Market Odds 2.05

Team Comparison

LE Havre AC Marseille
14 League Position 5
35 Points 59
21% Win % 53%
0.94 Avg Goals Scored 1.85
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32

Venue Form

LE Havre AC at Home
W0 D2 L2 (4 games)
0% win rate
Marseille Away
W1 D0 L2 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

LE Havre AC
L L D D
Marseille
W L L