1
17%
Home Win
5.82
X
22%
Draw
4.54
2
61%
Away Win
1.64
xG Home
0.88
xG Away
1.88
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Lazio an expected 0.9 goals and Inter an expected 1.9 goals. Lazio have a 17% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Inter at 61%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
11.8%
0:2
11.1%
1:1
10.5%
1:2
9.8%
0:3
7%
0:0
6.3%
1:3
6.2%
1:0
5.6%
2:1
4.6%
2:2
4.4%
0:4
3.3%
1:4
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Inter Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 61% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.64 |
| Market Odds | 1.74 |
Team Comparison
| Lazio | Inter | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 1 |
| 54 | Points | 87 |
| 37% | Win % | 71% |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.34 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.92 |
Venue Form
Lazio at Home
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Inter Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Lazio
L
D
Inter
W
D
