1
46%
Home Win
2.16
X
29%
Draw
3.5
2
25%
Away Win
3.99
xG Home
1.29
xG Away
0.87
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
BTTS
42%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Lazio an expected 1.3 goals and Genoa an expected 0.9 goals. Lazio have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Genoa at 25%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.9%
1:1
12.9%
0:0
11.6%
0:1
10%
2:0
9.6%
2:1
8.3%
1:2
5.6%
0:2
4.4%
3:0
4.1%
2:2
3.6%
3:1
3.6%
1:3
1.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lazio Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| Lazio | Genoa | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 16 |
| 54 | Points | 41 |
| 37% | Win % | 26% |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.34 |
Venue Form
Lazio at Home
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Genoa Away
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Lazio
L
D
Genoa
D
D
W
