1
38%
Home Win
2.66
X
26%
Draw
3.79
2
36%
Away Win
2.77
xG Home
1.32
xG Away
1.28
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Kyoto Sanga an expected 1.3 goals and Kashiwa Reysol an expected 1.3 goals. Kyoto Sanga have a 38% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Kashiwa Reysol at 36%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.6%
1:0
9.8%
0:1
9.5%
2:1
8.3%
1:2
8.1%
0:0
7.4%
2:0
6.4%
0:2
6.1%
2:2
5.3%
3:1
3.6%
1:3
3.4%
3:0
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Kyoto Sanga Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| Kyoto Sanga | Kashiwa Reysol | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 2 |
| 68 | Points | 75 |
| 50% | Win % | 55% |
| 1.63 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.58 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.89 |
Venue Form
Kyoto Sanga at Home
W0
D0
L3
(3 games)
Kashiwa Reysol Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Kyoto Sanga
L
L
L
Kashiwa Reysol
W
L
L
