1
41%
Home Win
2.44
X
28%
Draw
3.62
2
31%
Away Win
3.19
xG Home
1.29
xG Away
1.09
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS
48%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Kilmarnock an expected 1.3 goals and St. Mirren an expected 1.1 goals. Kilmarnock have a 41% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and St. Mirren at 31%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13%
1:0
11.9%
0:1
10.1%
0:0
9.3%
2:1
8.4%
2:0
7.7%
1:2
7.1%
0:2
5.5%
2:2
4.6%
3:1
3.6%
3:0
3.3%
1:3
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Kilmarnock Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| Kilmarnock | St. Mirren | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 10 |
| 28 | Points | 30 |
| 18% | Win % | 21% |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.82 |
| 1.97 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
Venue Form
Kilmarnock at Home
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
St. Mirren Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Kilmarnock
W
W
W
St. Mirren
D
W
L
