1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.78
xG Away
2.10
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Kilmarnock an expected 0.8 goals and Motherwell an expected 2.1 goals. Kilmarnock have a 13% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Motherwell at 68%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
12.4%
0:1
11.8%
1:2
9.6%
1:1
9.2%
0:3
8.7%
1:3
6.8%
0:0
5.6%
0:4
4.6%
1:0
4.4%
2:2
3.8%
2:1
3.6%
1:4
3.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Motherwell Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 68% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.47 |
| Market Odds | 1.56 |
Team Comparison
| Kilmarnock | Motherwell | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 4 |
| 28 | Points | 54 |
| 18% | Win % | 42% |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.58 |
| 1.97 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.88 |
Venue Form
Kilmarnock at Home
W3
D1
L0
(4 games)
Motherwell Away
W1
D0
L3
(4 games)
Recent Form
Kilmarnock
D
W
W
W
Motherwell
L
L
L
W
