1
10%
Home Win
9.78
X
17%
Draw
5.96
2
73%
Away Win
1.37
xG Home
0.75
xG Away
2.34
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS
48%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Kilmarnock an expected 0.8 goals and Heart of Midlothian an expected 2.3 goals. Kilmarnock have a 10% win probability, draw stands at 17%, and Heart of Midlothian at 73%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
12.4%
0:1
10.6%
0:3
9.7%
1:2
9.3%
1:1
8%
1:3
7.3%
0:4
5.7%
0:0
4.5%
1:4
4.3%
2:2
3.5%
1:0
3.4%
2:1
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Heart of Midlothian Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 73% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.37 |
| Market Odds | 1.46 |
Team Comparison
| Kilmarnock | Heart of Midlothian | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 1 |
| 28 | Points | 70 |
| 18% | Win % | 64% |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.76 |
| 1.97 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.85 |
Venue Form
Kilmarnock at Home
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
Heart of Midlothian Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Kilmarnock
W
W
W
Heart of Midlothian
L
D
W
