1
31%
Home Win
3.24
X
23%
Draw
4.39
2
46%
Away Win
2.16
xG Home
1.45
xG Away
1.82
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
BTTS
64%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Kilmarnock an expected 1.4 goals and Dundee Utd an expected 1.8 goals. Kilmarnock have a 31% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Dundee Utd at 46%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.1%
1:2
9.1%
2:1
7.3%
0:1
6.9%
2:2
6.6%
0:2
6.3%
1:0
5.5%
1:3
5.5%
2:0
4%
2:3
4%
0:0
3.8%
0:3
3.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Dundee Utd Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| Kilmarnock | Dundee Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 7 |
| 28 | Points | 40 |
| 18% | Win % | 27% |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.36 |
| 1.97 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.64 |
Venue Form
Kilmarnock at Home
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
Dundee Utd Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Kilmarnock
W
W
W
Dundee Utd
L
L
