1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.42
xG Away
1.37
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Kilmarnock an expected 1.4 goals and Dundee an expected 1.4 goals. Kilmarnock have a 38% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Dundee at 36%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.9%
1:0
8.7%
2:1
8.5%
0:1
8.4%
1:2
8.2%
2:0
6.2%
0:0
6.1%
2:2
5.8%
0:2
5.8%
3:1
4%
1:3
3.7%
3:0
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Kilmarnock Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| Kilmarnock | Dundee | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 9 |
| 28 | Points | 33 |
| 18% | Win % | 24% |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.03 |
| 1.97 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.61 |
Venue Form
Kilmarnock at Home
W3
D1
L0
(4 games)
Dundee Away
W1
D0
L4
(5 games)
Recent Form
Kilmarnock
D
W
W
W
Dundee
L
L
L
L
W
