1
13%
Home Win
7.63
X
17%
Draw
5.72
2
69%
Away Win
1.44
xG Home
0.94
xG Away
2.38
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Kilmarnock an expected 0.9 goals and Celtic an expected 2.4 goals. Kilmarnock have a 13% win probability, draw stands at 17%, and Celtic at 69%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
10.3%
1:2
9.6%
0:1
8.6%
0:3
8.1%
1:1
8.1%
1:3
7.6%
0:4
4.8%
1:4
4.6%
2:2
4.5%
2:1
3.8%
0:0
3.6%
2:3
3.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Celtic Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Kilmarnock | Celtic | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 3 |
| 28 | Points | 67 |
| 18% | Win % | 64% |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.79 |
| 1.97 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
Venue Form
Kilmarnock at Home
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
Celtic Away
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Kilmarnock
W
W
W
Celtic
W
W
W
Head to Head
Kilmarnock
2 : 3
Celtic
W
Celtic
4 : 0
Kilmarnock
L
Kilmarnock
1 : 2
Celtic
W
