Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos Prediction

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1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sun, 06 Sep 2026 · J1 League
1 59%
Home Win 1.69
X 23%
Draw 4.31
2 18%
Away Win 5.7
xG Home 1.76
xG Away 0.84
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
BTTS 47%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Kashiwa Reysol an expected 1.8 goals and Yokohama F. Marinos an expected 0.8 goals. Kashiwa Reysol have a 59% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Yokohama F. Marinos at 18%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 52%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 13.1%
2:0 11.5%
1:1 11%
2:1 9.7%
0:0 7.5%
3:0 6.8%
0:1 6.2%
3:1 5.7%
1:2 4.6%
2:2 4%
4:0 3%
0:2 2.6%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Kashiwa Reysol Win
Probability 59%
Predicted Odds 1.69
Market Odds 1.8

Team Comparison

Kashiwa Reysol Yokohama F. Marinos
2 League Position 15
75 Points 43
55% Win % 32%
1.58 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
0.89 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24

Venue Form

Kashiwa Reysol at Home
W1 D1 L4 (6 games)
17% win rate
Yokohama F. Marinos Away
W2 D1 L2 (5 games)
40% win rate

Recent Form

Kashiwa Reysol
L W L L L
Yokohama F. Marinos
D L W W L