1
59%
Home Win
1.69
X
23%
Draw
4.31
2
18%
Away Win
5.7
xG Home
1.76
xG Away
0.84
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Kashiwa Reysol an expected 1.8 goals and Yokohama F. Marinos an expected 0.8 goals. Kashiwa Reysol have a 59% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Yokohama F. Marinos at 18%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.1%
2:0
11.5%
1:1
11%
2:1
9.7%
0:0
7.5%
3:0
6.8%
0:1
6.2%
3:1
5.7%
1:2
4.6%
2:2
4%
4:0
3%
0:2
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Kashiwa Reysol Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 59% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.69 |
| Market Odds | 1.8 |
Team Comparison
| Kashiwa Reysol | Yokohama F. Marinos | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 15 |
| 75 | Points | 43 |
| 55% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 0.89 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.24 |
Venue Form
Kashiwa Reysol at Home
W1
D1
L4
(6 games)
Yokohama F. Marinos Away
W2
D1
L2
(5 games)
Recent Form
Kashiwa Reysol
L
W
L
L
L
Yokohama F. Marinos
D
L
W
W
L