1
53%
Home Win
1.89
X
27%
Draw
3.66
2
20%
Away Win
5.05
xG Home
1.41
xG Away
0.75
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
BTTS
40%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Kashima an expected 1.4 goals and Urawa an expected 0.7 goals. Kashima have a 53% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Urawa at 20%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
16.3%
1:1
12.2%
0:0
11.6%
2:0
11.5%
0:1
8.6%
2:1
8.6%
3:0
5.4%
1:2
4.5%
3:1
4%
0:2
3.2%
2:2
3.2%
4:0
1.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Kashima Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 53% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.89 |
| Market Odds | 2.01 |
Team Comparison
| Kashima | Urawa | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 7 |
| 76 | Points | 59 |
| 61% | Win % | 42% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 0.82 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.03 |
Venue Form
Kashima at Home
W4
D0
L0
(4 games)
Urawa Away
W2
D1
L2
(5 games)
Recent Form
Kashima
W
W
W
W
Urawa
D
L
W
W
L
