1
67%
Home Win
1.48
X
22%
Draw
4.49
2
10%
Away Win
9.78
xG Home
1.73
xG Away
0.50
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
BTTS
33%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Juventus an expected 1.7 goals and Parma an expected 0.5 goals. Juventus have a 67% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Parma at 10%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
18.5%
2:0
16%
0:0
10.7%
1:1
9.3%
3:0
9.2%
2:1
8.1%
0:1
5.4%
3:1
4.7%
4:0
4%
1:2
2.3%
2:2
2%
4:1
2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Juventus Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 67% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.49 |
| Market Odds | 1.59 |
Team Comparison
| Juventus | Parma | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 13 |
| 69 | Points | 45 |
| 50% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.61 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.74 |
| 0.89 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
Venue Form
Juventus at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Parma Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Juventus
D
W
W
Parma
L
W
