1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.50
xG Away
0.74
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
BTTS
41%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Juventus an expected 1.5 goals and Lazio an expected 0.7 goals. Juventus have a 56% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Lazio at 18%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
16%
2:0
12%
1:1
11.8%
0:0
10.6%
2:1
8.9%
0:1
7.8%
3:0
6%
3:1
4.4%
1:2
4.3%
2:2
3.3%
0:2
2.9%
4:0
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Juventus Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 56% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.79 |
| Market Odds | 1.9 |
Team Comparison
| Juventus | Lazio | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 9 |
| 69 | Points | 54 |
| 50% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.61 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 0.89 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.05 |
Venue Form
Juventus at Home
W3
D2
L0
(5 games)
Lazio Away
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Juventus
W
D
D
W
W
Lazio
W
W
W
