1
47%
Home Win
2.13
X
28%
Draw
3.61
2
25%
Away Win
3.94
xG Home
1.35
xG Away
0.92
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Juventus an expected 1.4 goals and Atalanta an expected 0.9 goals. Juventus have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Atalanta at 25%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14%
1:1
12.8%
0:0
10.3%
0:1
9.5%
2:0
9.5%
2:1
8.7%
1:2
5.9%
0:2
4.3%
3:0
4.3%
2:2
4%
3:1
3.9%
1:3
1.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Juventus Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 47% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.13 |
| Market Odds | 2.26 |
Team Comparison
| Juventus | Atalanta | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 7 |
| 69 | Points | 59 |
| 50% | Win % | 39% |
| 1.61 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.34 |
| 0.89 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.95 |
Venue Form
Juventus at Home
W2
D2
L0
(4 games)
Atalanta Away
W1
D2
L2
(5 games)
Recent Form
Juventus
D
D
W
W
Atalanta
L
D
W
L
D
