JEF United Chiba vs Gamba Osaka Prediction

1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sun, 06 Sep 2026 · J1 League
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Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.29
xG Away 0.96
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
BTTS 45%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives JEF United Chiba an expected 1.3 goals and Gamba Osaka an expected 1.0 goals. JEF United Chiba have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Gamba Osaka at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 61%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 13.6%
1:1 13%
0:0 10.5%
0:1 10.1%
2:0 8.8%
2:1 8.4%
1:2 6.3%
0:2 4.8%
2:2 4%
3:0 3.8%
3:1 3.6%
1:3 2%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick JEF United Chiba Win
Probability 44%
Predicted Odds 2.27
Market Odds 2.42

Venue Form

JEF United Chiba at Home
W1 D0 L3 (4 games)
25% win rate
Gamba Osaka Away
W1 D0 L3 (4 games)
25% win rate

Recent Form

JEF United Chiba
W L L L
Gamba Osaka
L W L L