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Ipswich vs Bournemouth — Prediction

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Most likely score (model)
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 · Premier League
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Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
8 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Premier League
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Ipswich
  • Hull City 2–2 Ipswich
  • Ipswich 1–1 Nottingham Forest
  • Manchester City 3–2 Ipswich
  • Everton 1–0 Ipswich
  • Ipswich 2–4 Arsenal
Bournemouth
  • Sparta Praha 1–3 Bournemouth
  • Bournemouth 2–0 Leeds
  • Bournemouth 3–0 Aston Villa
  • Manchester United 0–3 Bournemouth
  • Bournemouth 2–0 Sunderland
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Ipswich 9 · Bournemouth 9. Data saved: 2026-11-06 03:30 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Ipswich 45% · 2026-11-07 00:20 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.80
Model goal expectation · 2 2.13
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
BTTS 74%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Ipswich 1.80 · Bournemouth 2.13.
1 33% · X 21% · 2 46%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:2 8%
1:1 7.5%
2:2 7.2%
2:1 6.8%
1:3 5.7%
2:3 5.1%
0:2 4.5%
3:2 4.3%
0:1 4.2%
3:1 4.1%
1:0 3.5%
0:3 3.2%

About this assessment

Model outcome Bournemouth Win
Probability 46%
Predicted Odds 2.17

Team Comparison

Ipswich Bournemouth
14 League Position 8
11 Points 12
33% Win % 33%
1.56 Avg Goals Scored 1.56
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44

Venue Form

Ipswich at Home
W0 D1 L1 (2 games)
0% win rate
Bournemouth Away
W2 D0 L0 (2 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

Ipswich
D D L L L
Bournemouth
W W W W W

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

Inspect the prediction record →

Continue the match analysis

Useful next steps within VARiM.

Questions about this context

Answers to help interpret the available information.

Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.