1
37%
Home Win
2.71
X
26%
Draw
3.8
2
37%
Away Win
2.72
xG Home
1.30
xG Away
1.30
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Internacional an expected 1.3 goals and Santos an expected 1.3 goals. Internacional have a 37% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Santos at 37%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.5%
1:0
9.6%
0:1
9.6%
2:1
8.2%
1:2
8.2%
0:0
7.4%
2:0
6.3%
0:2
6.3%
2:2
5.3%
3:1
3.6%
1:3
3.5%
3:0
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Internacional Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 37% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.7 |
| Market Odds | 2.88 |
Team Comparison
| Internacional | Santos | |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | League Position | 12 |
| 44 | Points | 47 |
| 29% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
Venue Form
Internacional at Home
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Santos Away
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Internacional
D
W
L
W
Santos
D
D
W
