1
19%
Home Win
5.27
X
25%
Draw
3.99
2
56%
Away Win
1.79
xG Home
0.81
xG Away
1.59
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
BTTS
44%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Internacional an expected 0.8 goals and Cruzeiro an expected 1.6 goals. Internacional have a 19% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Cruzeiro at 56%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
14.4%
1:1
11.7%
0:2
11.5%
1:2
9.3%
0:0
9.1%
1:0
7.3%
0:3
6.1%
1:3
4.9%
2:1
4.7%
2:2
3.8%
2:0
3%
0:4
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Internacional Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Internacional | Cruzeiro | |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | League Position | 3 |
| 44 | Points | 70 |
| 29% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.45 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.82 |
Venue Form
Internacional at Home
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Cruzeiro Away
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Internacional
W
L
W
Cruzeiro
W
W
W
Head to Head
Cruzeiro
2 : 1
Internacional
L
Internacional
3 : 0
Cruzeiro
L
Cruzeiro
0 : 0
Internacional
D