Internacional vs Cruzeiro Prediction

Live Match Centre & Lineups ›
0 – 1
Most Likely Score
Thu, 23 Jul 2026 · Serie A
1 19%
Home Win 5.27
X 25%
Draw 3.99
2 56%
Away Win 1.79
xG Home 0.81
xG Away 1.59
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
BTTS 44%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Internacional an expected 0.8 goals and Cruzeiro an expected 1.6 goals. Internacional have a 19% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Cruzeiro at 56%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 57%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 14.4%
1:1 11.7%
0:2 11.5%
1:2 9.3%
0:0 9.1%
1:0 7.3%
0:3 6.1%
1:3 4.9%
2:1 4.7%
2:2 3.8%
2:0 3%
0:4 2.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Internacional Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Internacional Cruzeiro
16 League Position 3
44 Points 70
29% Win % 50%
1.16 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.82

Venue Form

Internacional at Home
W2 D0 L1 (3 games)
67% win rate
Cruzeiro Away
W3 D0 L0 (3 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

Internacional
W L W
Cruzeiro
W W W

Head to Head

23 Aug 2025 Serie A
Cruzeiro 2 : 1 Internacional
L
06 Apr 2025 Serie A
Internacional 3 : 0 Cruzeiro
L
28 Aug 2024 Serie A
Cruzeiro 0 : 0 Internacional
D