Houston Dynamo vs DC United Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Thu, 23 Jul 2026 · Major League Soccer
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.61
xG Away 1.19
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
BTTS 56%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Houston Dynamo an expected 1.6 goals and DC United an expected 1.2 goals. Houston Dynamo have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and DC United at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.6%
1:0 9.8%
2:1 9.4%
2:0 7.9%
0:1 7.2%
1:2 6.9%
0:0 6.1%
2:2 5.6%
3:1 5%
0:2 4.3%
3:0 4.2%
3:2 3%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Houston Dynamo Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Venue Form

Houston Dynamo at Home
W3 D2 L2 (7 games)
43% win rate
DC United Away
W1 D4 L1 (6 games)
17% win rate

Recent Form

Houston Dynamo
D L D W W
DC United
D D W D D

Head to Head

15 Feb 2025 Friendlies Clubs
Houston Dynamo 1 : 3 DC United
W
22 Jun 2024 Major League Soccer
DC United 1 : 4 Houston Dynamo
W
07 May 2022 Major League Soccer
DC United 2 : 0 Houston Dynamo
L