1
47%
Home Win
2.12
X
24%
Draw
4.09
2
28%
Away Win
3.53
xG Home
1.63
xG Away
1.21
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Houston Dynamo an expected 1.6 goals and DC United an expected 1.2 goals. Houston Dynamo have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and DC United at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.5%
1:0
9.5%
2:1
9.4%
2:0
7.8%
0:1
7.1%
1:2
7%
0:0
5.9%
2:2
5.7%
3:1
5.1%
0:2
4.3%
3:0
4.2%
3:2
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Houston Dynamo Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Venue Form
Houston Dynamo at Home
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
DC United Away
W1
D3
L1
(5 games)
Recent Form
Houston Dynamo
W
W
L
DC United
D
W
D
D
L
Head to Head
Houston Dynamo
1 : 3
DC United
W
DC United
1 : 4
Houston Dynamo
W
DC United
2 : 0
Houston Dynamo
L
