Hibernian vs Heart of Midlothian Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Thu, 03 Sep 2026 · Scottish Premiership
1 29%
Home Win 3.45
X 27%
Draw 3.64
2 44%
Away Win 2.3
xG Home 1.03
xG Away 1.33
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
BTTS 47%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Hibernian an expected 1.0 goals and Heart of Midlothian an expected 1.3 goals. Hibernian have a 29% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Heart of Midlothian at 44%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.9%
0:1 12.5%
1:0 9.7%
0:0 9.4%
1:2 8.6%
0:2 8.3%
2:1 6.7%
2:0 5%
2:2 4.5%
1:3 3.8%
0:3 3.7%
3:1 2.3%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Heart of Midlothian Win
Probability 44%
Predicted Odds 2.27
Market Odds 2.42

Team Comparison

Hibernian Heart of Midlothian
5 League Position 1
51 Points 70
39% Win % 64%
1.55 Avg Goals Scored 1.76
1.12 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85

Venue Form

Hibernian at Home
W0 D0 L2 (2 games)
0% win rate
Heart of Midlothian Away
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

Hibernian
L L
Heart of Midlothian
D W