1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.77
xG Away
1.03
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Hibernian an expected 1.8 goals and Falkirk an expected 1.0 goals. Hibernian have a 55% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Falkirk at 22%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.1%
1:0
10.7%
2:1
9.8%
2:0
9.5%
0:1
6.2%
0:0
6%
3:1
5.8%
1:2
5.7%
3:0
5.6%
2:2
5.1%
0:2
3.2%
3:2
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Hibernian Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 55% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.82 |
| Market Odds | 1.93 |
Team Comparison
| Hibernian | Falkirk | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 6 |
| 51 | Points | 46 |
| 39% | Win % | 39% |
| 1.55 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.36 |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
Venue Form
Hibernian at Home
W0
D1
L4
(5 games)
Falkirk Away
W0
D2
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Hibernian
L
D
L
L
L
Falkirk
D
D
L
L
