1
62%
Home Win
1.62
X
23%
Draw
4.38
2
16%
Away Win
6.42
xG Home
1.77
xG Away
0.76
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS
44%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Hibernian an expected 1.8 goals and Aberdeen an expected 0.8 goals. Hibernian have a 62% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Aberdeen at 16%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.1%
2:0
12.5%
1:1
10.7%
2:1
9.5%
0:0
7.9%
3:0
7.4%
0:1
6%
3:1
5.6%
1:2
4.1%
2:2
3.6%
4:0
3.3%
4:1
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Hibernian Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 62% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.61 |
| Market Odds | 1.72 |
Team Comparison
| Hibernian | Aberdeen | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 8 |
| 51 | Points | 33 |
| 39% | Win % | 27% |
| 1.55 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
Venue Form
Hibernian at Home
W0
D0
L3
(3 games)
Aberdeen Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Hibernian
L
L
L
Aberdeen
W
D
