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Heart of Midlothian vs Falkirk — Prediction

Heart of Midlothian Heart of Midlothian
2 – 0
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 · Scottish Premiership
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Falkirk Falkirk

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
8 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC
Competition
Scottish Premiership
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Heart of Midlothian
  • FC Thun 3–1 Heart of Midlothian
  • Heart of Midlothian 2–2 Rangers FC
  • Motherwell 0–2 Heart of Midlothian
  • Trabzonspor 2–0 Heart of Midlothian
  • Celtic 7–1 Heart of Midlothian
Falkirk
  • Aberdeen 0–1 Falkirk
  • Falkirk 3–0 Kilmarnock
  • Hibernian 1–2 Falkirk
  • ST Johnstone 1–1 Falkirk
  • Dundee Utd 1–1 Falkirk
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Heart of Midlothian 33 · Falkirk 33. Data saved: 2026-11-03 23:30 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Heart of Midlothian 54% · 2026-11-07 00:50 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 2.02
Model goal expectation · 2 0.78
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
BTTS 47%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Heart of Midlothian 2.02 · Falkirk 0.78.
1 66% · X 20% · 2 14%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:0 12.4%
1:0 12.3%
2:1 9.7%
1:1 9.6%
3:0 8.3%
3:1 6.5%
0:0 6.1%
0:1 4.8%
4:0 4.2%
2:2 3.8%
1:2 3.8%
4:1 3.3%

About this assessment

Model outcome Heart of Midlothian Win
Probability 66%
Predicted Odds 1.52

Team Comparison

Heart of Midlothian Falkirk
1 League Position 6
70 Points 46
64% Win % 39%
1.76 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
0.85 Avg Goals Conceded 1.45

Venue Form

Heart of Midlothian at Home
W0 D1 L0 (1 games)
0% win rate
Falkirk Away
W2 D2 L0 (4 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

Heart of Midlothian
L D W L L
Falkirk
W W W D D

Head to Head

22 Aug 2026 scottish
Falkirk 2 : 1 Heart of Midlothian
L
13 May 2026 scottish
Heart of Midlothian 3 : 0 Falkirk
W

More Scottish Premiership Predictions

Aberdeen vs Hibernian
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 2 · 52%
Dundee Utd vs Motherwell
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 2 · 56%
ST Johnstone vs Dundee
Sat 07 Nov
St. Mirren vs Rangers FC
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 2 · 70%
Celtic vs Kilmarnock
Sun 08 Nov Tip: 1 · 78%

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02

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03

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