1
66%
Home Win
1.51
X
20%
Draw
4.95
2
14%
Away Win
7.37
xG Home
2.02
xG Away
0.78
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Heart of Midlothian an expected 2.0 goals and Falkirk an expected 0.8 goals. Heart of Midlothian have a 66% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Falkirk at 14%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
12.4%
1:0
12.3%
2:1
9.7%
1:1
9.6%
3:0
8.3%
3:1
6.5%
0:0
6.1%
0:1
4.8%
4:0
4.2%
2:2
3.8%
1:2
3.8%
4:1
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Heart of Midlothian Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 66% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.52 |
| Market Odds | 1.61 |
Team Comparison
| Heart of Midlothian | Falkirk | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 6 |
| 70 | Points | 46 |
| 64% | Win % | 39% |
| 1.76 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.36 |
| 0.85 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
Venue Form
Heart of Midlothian at Home
W3
D0
L1
(4 games)
Falkirk Away
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Heart of Midlothian
W
W
W
L
Falkirk
D
L
L