1
71%
Home Win
1.41
X
18%
Draw
5.66
2
11%
Away Win
8.83
xG Home
2.27
xG Away
0.78
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS
49%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Heart of Midlothian an expected 2.3 goals and Dundee Utd an expected 0.8 goals. Heart of Midlothian have a 71% win probability, draw stands at 18%, and Dundee Utd at 11%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
12.2%
1:0
10.7%
2:1
9.5%
3:0
9.2%
1:1
8.4%
3:1
7.2%
4:0
5.2%
0:0
4.7%
4:1
4.1%
2:2
3.7%
0:1
3.7%
1:2
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Heart of Midlothian Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 71% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.41 |
| Market Odds | 1.5 |
Team Comparison
| Heart of Midlothian | Dundee Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 7 |
| 70 | Points | 40 |
| 64% | Win % | 27% |
| 1.76 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.36 |
| 0.85 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.64 |
Venue Form
Heart of Midlothian at Home
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Dundee Utd Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Heart of Midlothian
W
W
L
Dundee Utd
L
L
