1
75%
Home Win
1.34
X
17%
Draw
5.94
2
8%
Away Win
11.99
xG Home
2.23
xG Away
0.59
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS
40%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Heart of Midlothian an expected 2.2 goals and Dundee an expected 0.6 goals. Heart of Midlothian have a 75% win probability, draw stands at 17%, and Dundee at 8%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
14.8%
1:0
13.3%
3:0
11%
2:1
8.8%
1:1
7.9%
3:1
6.5%
4:0
6.1%
0:0
6%
4:1
3.6%
0:1
3.5%
2:2
2.6%
1:2
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Heart of Midlothian Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 75% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.33 |
| Market Odds | 1.42 |
Team Comparison
| Heart of Midlothian | Dundee | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 9 |
| 70 | Points | 33 |
| 64% | Win % | 24% |
| 1.76 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.03 |
| 0.85 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.61 |
Venue Form
Heart of Midlothian at Home
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Dundee Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Heart of Midlothian
W
W
L
Dundee
L
L
W
