Gwangju FC vs Jeju United FC Prediction

0 – 1
Most Likely Score
Wed, 09 Sep 2026 · K League 1
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 0.88
xG Away 1.83
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
BTTS 49%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Gwangju FC an expected 0.9 goals and Jeju United FC an expected 1.8 goals. Gwangju FC have a 18% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Jeju United FC at 60%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 12.2%
0:2 11.2%
1:1 10.7%
1:2 9.8%
0:3 6.8%
0:0 6.7%
1:3 6%
1:0 5.9%
2:1 4.7%
2:2 4.3%
0:4 3.1%
1:4 2.7%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Jeju United FC Win
Probability 60%
Predicted Odds 1.67
Market Odds 1.77

Team Comparison

Gwangju FC Jeju United FC
12 League Position 7
21 Points 46
9% Win % 36%
0.91 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
2.09 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12

Venue Form

Gwangju FC at Home
W0 D3 L2 (5 games)
0% win rate
Jeju United FC Away
W2 D2 L1 (5 games)
40% win rate

Recent Form

Gwangju FC
D L D L D
Jeju United FC
L W D W D