FC Seoul vs Gangwon FC Prediction

1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sat, 24 Oct 2026 · K League 1
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.45
xG Away 0.79
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
BTTS 42%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Seoul an expected 1.4 goals and Gangwon FC an expected 0.8 goals. FC Seoul have a 53% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Gangwon FC at 20%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 61%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 15.5%
1:1 12.2%
2:0 11.2%
0:0 10.7%
2:1 8.8%
0:1 8.4%
3:0 5.4%
1:2 4.8%
3:1 4.3%
2:2 3.5%
0:2 3.3%
4:0 2%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick FC Seoul Win
Probability 53%
Predicted Odds 1.89
Market Odds 2.01

Team Comparison

FC Seoul Gangwon FC
1 League Position 5
67 Points 48
61% Win % 33%
1.85 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 0.91

Venue Form

FC Seoul at Home
W3 D2 L0 (5 games)
60% win rate
Gangwon FC Away
W2 D4 L0 (6 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

FC Seoul
D W W D W
Gangwon FC
D D W D D