Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Hana Citizen Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 24 Oct 2026 · K League 1
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.07
xG Away 1.48
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
BTTS 51%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Gimcheon Sangmu FC an expected 1.1 goals and Daejeon Hana Citizen an expected 1.5 goals. Gimcheon Sangmu FC have a 27% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Daejeon Hana Citizen at 46%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.4%
0:1 11.6%
1:2 9.1%
0:2 8.5%
1:0 8.4%
0:0 7.8%
2:1 6.6%
2:2 4.9%
2:0 4.5%
1:3 4.5%
0:3 4.2%
2:3 2.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Daejeon Hana Citizen Win
Probability 46%
Predicted Odds 2.17
Market Odds 2.31

Team Comparison

Gimcheon Sangmu FC Daejeon Hana Citizen
10 League Position 3
34 Points 49
15% Win % 39%
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.61
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24

Venue Form

Gimcheon Sangmu FC at Home
W0 D4 L1 (5 games)
0% win rate
Daejeon Hana Citizen Away
W2 D3 L0 (5 games)
40% win rate

Recent Form

Gimcheon Sangmu FC
L D D D D
Daejeon Hana Citizen
W D W D D