1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.26
xG Away
0.93
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
BTTS
43%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Incheon United an expected 1.3 goals and Jeju United FC an expected 0.9 goals. Incheon United have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Jeju United FC at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.2%
1:1
13.1%
0:0
11.2%
0:1
10.4%
2:0
8.9%
2:1
8.3%
1:2
6.1%
0:2
4.8%
2:2
3.8%
3:0
3.7%
3:1
3.5%
1:3
1.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Incheon United Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 44% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.27 |
| Market Odds | 2.42 |
Team Comparison
| Incheon United | Jeju United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 7 |
| 46 | Points | 46 |
| 36% | Win % | 36% |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.12 |
Venue Form
Incheon United at Home
W3
D1
L1
(5 games)
Jeju United FC Away
W2
D2
L1
(5 games)
Recent Form
Incheon United
W
D
W
W
L
Jeju United FC
L
W
D
W
D
