1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.75
xG Away
0.96
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Bucheon FC 1995 an expected 1.7 goals and Gwangju FC an expected 1.0 goals. Bucheon FC 1995 have a 56% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Gwangju FC at 20%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
11.7%
1:1
11.2%
2:0
10.2%
2:1
9.8%
0:0
6.7%
0:1
6.4%
3:0
6%
3:1
5.7%
1:2
5.4%
2:2
4.7%
0:2
3.1%
3:2
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Bucheon FC 1995 Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 56% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.79 |
| Market Odds | 1.9 |
Team Comparison
| Bucheon FC 1995 | Gwangju FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 12 |
| 32 | Points | 21 |
| 21% | Win % | 9% |
| 0.97 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.91 |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.09 |
Venue Form
Bucheon FC 1995 at Home
W0
D1
L5
(6 games)
Gwangju FC Away
W1
D3
L0
(4 games)
Recent Form
Bucheon FC 1995
L
L
D
L
L
Gwangju FC
W
D
D
D