1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.25
xG Away
0.76
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Guadalajara Chivas an expected 2.3 goals and Necaxa an expected 0.8 goals. Guadalajara Chivas have a 71% win probability, draw stands at 18%, and Necaxa at 11%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
12.5%
1:0
11.1%
2:1
9.5%
3:0
9.4%
1:1
8.4%
3:1
7.1%
4:0
5.3%
0:0
4.9%
4:1
4%
0:1
3.7%
2:2
3.6%
1:2
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Guadalajara Chivas Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 71% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.41 |
| Market Odds | 1.5 |
Team Comparison
| Guadalajara Chivas | Necaxa | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 15 |
| 36 | Points | 18 |
| 65% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.12 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.47 |
Venue Form
Guadalajara Chivas at Home
W4
D1
L2
(7 games)
Necaxa Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Guadalajara Chivas
L
W
W
L
W
Necaxa
L
L
