1
32%
Home Win
3.11
X
27%
Draw
3.72
2
41%
Away Win
2.44
xG Home
1.15
xG Away
1.34
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Groningen an expected 1.2 goals and FC Twente an expected 1.3 goals. Groningen have a 32% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and FC Twente at 41%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.8%
0:1
11.1%
1:0
9.5%
1:2
8.6%
0:0
8.3%
0:2
7.4%
2:1
7.4%
2:0
5.5%
2:2
4.9%
1:3
3.8%
0:3
3.3%
3:1
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Twente Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| Groningen | FC Twente | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 4 |
| 48 | Points | 58 |
| 41% | Win % | 44% |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.74 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.18 |
Venue Form
Groningen at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
FC Twente Away
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Groningen
W
L
FC Twente
D
