1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.86
xG Away
1.40
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
BTTS
44%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Gremio an expected 0.9 goals and Cruzeiro an expected 1.4 goals. Gremio have a 23% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Cruzeiro at 49%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
14.6%
1:1
12.6%
0:0
10.4%
0:2
10.2%
1:0
9%
1:2
8.8%
2:1
5.4%
0:3
4.7%
1:3
4.1%
2:0
3.9%
2:2
3.8%
2:3
1.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Cruzeiro Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 49% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.04 |
| Market Odds | 2.17 |
Team Comparison
| Gremio | Cruzeiro | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 3 |
| 49 | Points | 70 |
| 34% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.45 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.82 |
Venue Form
Gremio at Home
W1
D2
L1
(4 games)
Cruzeiro Away
W5
D0
L0
(5 games)
Recent Form
Gremio
D
L
W
D
Cruzeiro
W
W
W
W
W
