Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice Prediction

1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sun, 18 Oct 2026 · Ekstraklasa
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.57
xG Away 0.93
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
BTTS 48%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Gornik Zabrze an expected 1.6 goals and Piast Gliwice an expected 0.9 goals. Gornik Zabrze have a 52% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Piast Gliwice at 22%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 12.8%
1:1 12%
2:0 10.1%
2:1 9.4%
0:0 8.2%
0:1 7.6%
1:2 5.6%
3:0 5.3%
3:1 4.9%
2:2 4.4%
0:2 3.6%
3:2 2.3%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Gornik Zabrze Win
Probability 52%
Predicted Odds 1.92
Market Odds 2.05

Team Comparison

Gornik Zabrze Piast Gliwice
2 League Position 15
56 Points 41
47% Win % 32%
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.12 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35

Venue Form

Gornik Zabrze at Home
W2 D0 L1 (3 games)
67% win rate
Piast Gliwice Away
W1 D2 L2 (5 games)
20% win rate

Recent Form

Gornik Zabrze
W L W
Piast Gliwice
W L D D L