GKS Katowice vs Pogoń Szczecin Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · Ekstraklasa
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.71
xG Away 1.24
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
BTTS 58%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives GKS Katowice an expected 1.7 goals and Pogoń Szczecin an expected 1.2 goals. GKS Katowice have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Pogoń Szczecin at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.1%
2:1 9.5%
1:0 9%
2:0 7.7%
1:2 6.9%
0:1 6.5%
2:2 5.9%
3:1 5.4%
0:0 5.3%
3:0 4.4%
0:2 4%
3:2 3.3%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick GKS Katowice Win
Probability 48%
Predicted Odds 2.08
Market Odds 2.22

Team Comparison

GKS Katowice Pogoń Szczecin
5 League Position 9
50 Points 45
41% Win % 38%
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44

Venue Form

GKS Katowice at Home
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate
Pogoń Szczecin Away
W2 D1 L1 (4 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

GKS Katowice
W L
Pogoń Szczecin
W W L D