1
22%
Home Win
4.56
X
25%
Draw
3.93
2
53%
Away Win
1.9
xG Home
0.91
xG Away
1.56
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Genoa an expected 0.9 goals and Napoli an expected 1.6 goals. Genoa have a 22% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Napoli at 53%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
13.2%
1:1
12%
0:2
10.3%
1:2
9.4%
0:0
8.4%
1:0
7.7%
2:1
5.5%
0:3
5.4%
1:3
4.9%
2:2
4.3%
2:0
3.5%
2:3
2.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Napoli Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 53% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.89 |
| Market Odds | 2.01 |
Team Comparison
| Genoa | Napoli | |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | League Position | 2 |
| 41 | Points | 76 |
| 26% | Win % | 61% |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.34 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.95 |
Venue Form
Genoa at Home
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Napoli Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Genoa
L
Napoli
D
L
