1
15%
Home Win
6.57
X
23%
Draw
4.35
2
62%
Away Win
1.62
xG Home
0.73
xG Away
1.75
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
BTTS
43%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Genoa an expected 0.7 goals and Como an expected 1.8 goals. Genoa have a 15% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Como at 62%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
14.6%
0:2
12.8%
1:1
10.7%
1:2
9.4%
0:0
8.3%
0:3
7.5%
1:0
6.1%
1:3
5.5%
2:1
3.9%
2:2
3.4%
0:4
3.3%
1:4
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Como Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 62% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.61 |
| Market Odds | 1.72 |
Team Comparison
| Genoa | Como | |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | League Position | 4 |
| 41 | Points | 71 |
| 26% | Win % | 53% |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.71 |
| 1.34 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.76 |
Venue Form
Genoa at Home
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Como Away
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Genoa
L
Como
W
W