1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.11
xG Away
0.88
Over 2.5 Goals
32%
BTTS
39%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Gangwon FC an expected 1.1 goals and Incheon United an expected 0.9 goals. Gangwon FC have a 41% win probability, draw stands at 31%, and Incheon United at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 68%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
15.2%
0:0
13.7%
1:1
13.3%
0:1
12%
2:0
8.4%
2:1
7.4%
1:2
5.8%
0:2
5.3%
2:2
3.2%
3:0
3.1%
3:1
2.7%
1:3
1.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Gangwon FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| Gangwon FC | Incheon United | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 6 |
| 48 | Points | 46 |
| 33% | Win % | 36% |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.3 |
| 0.91 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
Venue Form
Gangwon FC at Home
W1
D2
L1
(4 games)
Incheon United Away
W1
D1
L3
(5 games)
Recent Form
Gangwon FC
D
L
D
W
Incheon United
D
L
L
W
L
