Fulham vs Newcastle United Prediction

Fulham Fulham
1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 24 May 2026 · Premier League
Newcastle United Newcastle United
1 44%
Home Win 2.27
X 25%
Draw 3.92
2 30%
Away Win 3.29
xG Home 1.50
xG Away 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
BTTS 54%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Fulham an expected 1.5 goals and Newcastle United an expected 1.2 goals. Fulham have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Newcastle United at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.1%
1:0 10.1%
2:1 9.1%
0:1 8.1%
2:0 7.6%
1:2 7.3%
0:0 6.7%
2:2 5.4%
0:2 4.8%
3:1 4.5%
3:0 3.8%
1:3 2.9%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Newcastle United Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Fulham Newcastle United
0 League Position 0
0 Points 0

Venue Form

Fulham at Home
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate
Newcastle United Away
W0 D1 L1 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Fulham
L W
Newcastle United
D L

Head to Head

17 Dec 2025 League Cup
Newcastle 2 : 1 Fulham
L
25 Oct 2025 Premier League
Newcastle 2 : 1 Fulham
L
01 Feb 2025 Premier League
Newcastle 1 : 2 Fulham
W