1
30%
Home Win
3.35
X
24%
Draw
4.13
2
46%
Away Win
2.18
xG Home
1.28
xG Away
1.64
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
BTTS
58%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Fulham an expected 1.3 goals and Manchester United an expected 1.6 goals. Fulham have a 30% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Manchester United at 46%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.3%
1:2
9.3%
0:1
8.9%
0:2
7.3%
2:1
7.2%
1:0
6.9%
2:2
5.9%
0:0
5.4%
1:3
5.1%
2:0
4.4%
0:3
4%
2:3
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Manchester United Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| Fulham | Manchester United | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 3 |
| 52 | Points | 71 |
| 39% | Win % | 53% |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.82 |
| 1.34 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
Venue Form
Fulham at Home
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Manchester United Away
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Fulham
L
L
W
Manchester United
D
D
W
