1
44%
Home Win
2.27
X
28%
Draw
3.57
2
28%
Away Win
3.59
xG Home
1.30
xG Away
0.98
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Fulham an expected 1.3 goals and Crystal Palace an expected 1.0 goals. Fulham have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Crystal Palace at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.4%
1:1
13%
0:0
10.2%
0:1
10%
2:0
8.7%
2:1
8.5%
1:2
6.3%
0:2
4.9%
2:2
4.1%
3:0
3.8%
3:1
3.7%
1:3
2.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Fulham Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 44% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.27 |
| Market Odds | 2.42 |
Team Comparison
| Fulham | Crystal Palace | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 15 |
| 52 | Points | 45 |
| 39% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 1.34 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.34 |
Venue Form
Fulham at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Crystal Palace Away
W0
D0
L3
(3 games)
Recent Form
Fulham
L
W
Crystal Palace
L
L
L